Barratt Homes predicts 12% chance of a white Christmas

Everyone loves a snow day

Dreaming of a white Christmas? Here are the latest official weather statistics from the Met office, revealing the chances of snow across the South East. 

Barratt Homes has teamed up with the Met Office and sourced data that analysed the past 25 years of winter weather to determine what conditions you are most likely to experience throughout this festive time of the year.

Will it snow on the big day?

In an attempt to answer that question, Barratt Homes has used official Met Office data and analysed the past 25 years of winter weather to determine what conditions you are most likely to experience throughout this festive time of the year.

This is the Barratt Homes Winter Weather Calculator, and if correct we have a 12% chance of seeing the white stuff.

The calculator uses historical data supplied by the Met Office’s National Climate Information Centre, presenting snowfall and snow depth data to uncover which regions had the best snow sightings during the most memorable years.

This application uses 25 years’ worth of data (starting in 1993) to calculate the percentage likelihood of snow in each region.

To work out the likelihood of a white Christmas, analysis considered how many times snow fell on Christmas eve and Christmas day and whether any snow was still settled on Christmas day. Analysed this way, if there was snow on the ground but no snowfall on either the 24th or the 25th of December, then this still counted as a white Christmas.

To see the data and check out the calculator, click here.

Please note that this prediction is not endorsed by the Met Office as an accurate weather forecast.